Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 638.273076 716.425871 803.191523 907.174048 1029.074872 1168.273398 1340.426616
2025-02-16 519.525203 621.909987 745.577941 907.981208 1118.695108 1387.203824 1762.492108
2025-02-23 464.737016 579.460514 725.757398 929.930436 1214.024056 1605.658590 2205.702637
2025-03-02 424.587657 546.881493 709.810222 948.922474 1301.972899 1823.336828 2691.661601
2025-03-09 388.062425 513.052507 685.592816 949.569881 1359.403538 2001.904691 3155.279302
2025-03-16 354.614468 479.021115 655.896837 936.183543 1390.553240 2141.371623 3584.052295
2025-03-23 333.772964 460.323048 645.481313 949.245748 1463.516904 2360.491531 4212.457742
2025-03-30 306.349384 429.176894 612.849964 922.333663 1464.382306 2451.445976 4613.127493
2025-04-06 283.274566 402.482044 584.289318 898.195428 1465.544120 2541.464188 5035.525694
2025-04-13 262.146441 377.048532 555.328853 869.834382 1454.422841 2604.537552 5414.710017
2025-04-20 254.041723 371.191264 557.047336 894.262034 1544.764989 2889.537620 6423.479353
2025-04-27 243.386470 360.379751 549.524173 901.078568 1601.497015 3114.428840 7363.227314
2025-05-04 233.485512 350.701148 544.115563 913.211113 1675.380674 3405.388497 8654.008924
2025-05-11 221.553259 336.911827 530.663808 909.045602 1715.635040 3630.509642 9874.280732
2025-05-18 214.972804 331.511815 531.237391 931.800383 1817.963240 4037.205281 11944.478708
2025-05-25 208.341438 325.479885 530.044355 950.721897 1914.989877 4459.092334 14375.133497
2025-06-01 199.758211 315.421126 520.575917 951.388949 1968.978051 4777.283952 16636.542020
2025-06-08 190.071279 302.774973 505.267579 937.967097 1986.177096 4992.587083 18619.445792
2025-06-15 184.423672 296.971293 502.418833 951.061705 2073.038211 5453.795478 22283.177076
2025-06-22 174.486095 282.797126 482.409656 924.083770 2050.380555 5550.021622 24052.041221
2025-06-29 165.597837 270.071293 464.394513 899.886996 2031.784497 5657.336953 26030.996060
2025-07-06 156.866029 257.195299 445.286420 871.457726 1997.537225 5701.622070 27685.518158
2025-07-13 154.343913 255.734411 448.807776 895.944102 2117.339076 6359.810881 34631.011420